13 August 2012
Last updated at 23:34 GMT
Weeds cover a deserted theme park north of Beijing
As growth slows, China’s huge investment in infrastructure is looking ever harder to sustain, leaving a string of ambitious projects – towns, shopping malls and even a theme park – empty and forlorn.
“We have spoken a lot about these ghost towns in Ireland and Spain recently [but China] is Ireland and Spain on steroids,” says Kevin Doran, a senior investment fund manager at Brown Shipley in the UK.
Investment in infrastructure accounts for much of China’s GDP, making the consequences of getting it wrong all the more serious.
And with such a large pool of labour, it is harder to put the brakes on when growth slows down and the supply of housing and shops outstrips demand.
“You have got seven to eight million people entering the workforce in China every single year, so you have to give them something to do in order to retain the legitimacy of the government,” Doran told the BBC World Service.
“Maybe 10 or 15 years ago they were doing things that made sense – roads, rail, power stations etc – but they have now got to the point where it’s investment for investment’s sake.”
As Edward Chancellor, global strategist at investment management firm GMO, pointed out in a recent BBC News article, China is said to have built the equivalent of Rome every two months in the past decade.
So which are the most striking of these white elephants?
New city of Chenggong, Yunnan
“In Chenggong, there are more than 100,000 new apartments with no occupants,” wrote the World Bank’s Holly Krambeck in a recent blog.
Designed as an overspill point for nearby Kunming, a city of nearly six and a half million, Chenggong began to take shape in 2003.
High-rise apartment blocks have mushroomed but today it is still largely deserted after failed attempts by the authorities to attract new residents.
Matteo Damiani, an Italian journalist who worked for seven years in Kunming, has visited Chenggong several times, photographing empty tower blocks that loom over gigantic plazas, peopled only by enormous works of art.
He found a small community of students, workers and security guards but nobody else.
“The suburbs and even the city centre are empty,” he says. “You can find a big stadium, shopping malls and hundreds of buildings finished but abandoned.”
There is even an area for luxury villas that is totally abandoned, he adds.
It is said to be one of the biggest ghost cities in Asia.
New South China Mall, Dongguang, Guangdong
The distinction of being the world’s biggest ghost mall, or emptiest shopping centre, may belong to this vast complex on the outskirts of Dongguang, a city of 10 million.
You may think that with a population like that, it would be booming but the vast majority of its 1,500 stores have been empty since it was finished in 2005.
It has been hurt by poor transport infrastructure. As a post on the Documentary Stream blog puts it, “unfortunately it was built in the middle of nowhere”.
Stationary escalators lead to lightless corridors. Even the skeletons on the ghost train look bored, to judge from the pictures in a Daily Mail feature.
It is not like the developers did not try. They threw in a canal, windmills and replicas of the Campanile from St Mark’s Square in Venice and the Arc de Triomphe in Paris.
For Netherlands-based blogger Mathilde Teuben, who visited two years ago, it was a surreal experience.
“It’s a building where you can see that there was some activity earlier – though very little – but it’s like a ghost town,” she says.
“The very few shops that are there are deserted of customers. It was also funny to see some of the promotional posters for the mall which mostly depicted happy Caucasian children.”
However, the mall’s website says it is “bound to be a miracle of commercial history”, suggesting optimistically that success lies some time in the future.
Wonderland Amusement Park, Nankou Town, Changping
For this theme park north of the Chinese capital Beijing, the future is not what was promised when conceived nearly 20 years ago.
Its Disneyesque castle and medieval ramparts lie abandoned. Local farmers grow crops among the empty buildings.
In the mid-1990s, developers had promised to build the largest amusement park in Asia but the project got mothballed over a land rights dispute.
According to a recent CNN article, the site does attract visitors but hardly the sort the developers had in mind.
Local people, it says, told Chinese media it was gradually becoming an alternative attraction for Beijing people.
Students, photographers and artists come here, apparently, in search of a “ruin culture”.
Thames Town, Shanghai
Photographers who visit this imitation English town generally come not to capture decay but newlyweds, posing in front of mock-Tudor buildings and red phone-boxes.
The Shanghai suburb boasts a market square, a castle, a neo-gothic church, cobbled streets, a pub, a chip shop, Georgian-style houses and statues of well-known English figures, such as Winston Churchill, James Bond and Harry Potter.
As a backdrop, Thames Town is a hit with the wedding industry. However, it has stayed very much a backdrop since opening in 2006.
“The city is a virtual ghost town, with empty shops and unused roads,” according to an article in Business Insider.
Yet perhaps not all is lost for the developers. Apartments have reportedly been sold – to buyers who want them as investments and second homes.
The proof of the developers’ pudding may lie in news that the construction of another mock English town is being planned near Beijing.
“Four miles of polluted rivers running through 1,000 acres of blighted semi-rural land will be restored and landscaped into scenic standards becoming of the English countryside,” a Chinese official told the Daily Telegraph.
New business district, Yujiapu, Tianjin
Perhaps you can copy a small English town, but how about Manhattan?
If Chinese developers have their way, the name Yujiapu will be synonymous with international finance a decade from now.
They say they are laying the foundations of the world’s biggest financial zone in the muck of the northern port city of Tianjin.
However, a Reuters news agency report suggests that they had to scale back their ambition recently to achieving something short of “the next Shanghai”.
Tianjin now styles itself as China’s home of private equity, offering firms generous tax breaks to set up there.
Meanwhile, the city looks set for a glut of prime office space.
“Tianjin… will soon have more prime office space than will be filled in a quarter-century at the current absorption rate,” business magazine Forbes noted.
Kevin Doran spoke to World Update on the BBC World ServiceR Soft Web Hosting